The current bank interest of America and India are 4.5% and 8.5% respectively. The present spot market rate of exchange in US $ is ₹ 62.10. What would be the twelve month forward rate ?

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MH SET Paper-II: Commerce 7th April 2024
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  1. 67.37
  2. 64.47
  3. 62.10
  4. 66.10

Answer (Detailed Solution Below)

Option 2 : 64.47
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MH SET Paper 1: Held on 26th Sep 2021
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Detailed Solution

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The correct answer is - 64.47

Key Points

  • Forward Rate Calculation
    • The formula for calculating the forward exchange rate is based on the Interest Rate Parity:
      Forward Rate = Spot Rate × (1 + Interest Rate of Domestic Country) / (1 + Interest Rate of Foreign Country).
    • In this case:
      • Spot Rate (₹/$): 62.10
      • Interest Rate in India: 8.5% or 0.085
      • Interest Rate in America: 4.5% or 0.045
    • Substitute values into the formula:
      Forward Rate = 62.10 × (1 + 0.085) / (1 + 0.045)
      Forward Rate = 62.10 × 1.085 / 1.045
      Forward Rate = 64.47
  • Correct Answer Explanation
    • The option 64.47 correctly applies the formula and aligns with the given data.
    • The forward rate reflects the effect of the difference in interest rates between India and the US.

Additional Information

  • Interest Rate Parity
    • It is a fundamental concept in foreign exchange markets that links spot exchange rates, forward exchange rates, and interest rates of two countries.
    • The formula assumes no arbitrage opportunities in the currency markets.
    • Higher interest rates in one country typically result in a depreciation of its currency in the forward market.
  • Spot Exchange Rate
    • Defined as the current price of one currency in terms of another currency for immediate delivery.
    • It is influenced by factors such as economic stability, trade balances, and market demand.
  • Forward Exchange Rate
    • The rate agreed upon today for exchanging currencies at a specific future date.
    • Used to hedge against exchange rate risk in international trade and investments.
    • Forward rates reflect differences in interest rates between two countries.
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